Research  /  Banking  /  September 2026

AI is picking small businesses' banks — and it isn't picking banks

We ran 2,160 four-turn buying conversations across ChatGPT, Gemini and Perplexity, in which a small-business owner describes their situation and asks an AI assistant what to do. One fintech was recommended more often than all thirty banks in the study combined.

Conversations2,160
Turns8,640
Banks30
Assistants3
Situations4
Runs each3
Fieldwork18 Sep 2026
The headline finding

One fintech out-recommends the entire banking sector

Mercury was the single, outright recommendation in 594 of 2,160 conversations. Every bank combined — all thirty in the study, plus any other bank an assistant chose on its own — managed 452.

594 vs 452
Mercury's outright recommendations, against every bank in the study combined

Out of 2,160 conversations.

72%
of conversations that opened on the customer's bank recommend someone else by the end

502 of 702.

86%
of the time, the provider that takes the recommendation is a fintech

669 fintech wins against 107 for another bank.

43%
of the time an assistant gives the same final answer three times running

307 of 720 situations.

Banks are not losing the AI conversation at the point of discovery. They are losing it at the point of decision.
The league table

How often AI recommends the bank a small business asks about

A small-business owner says they have been looking at a particular bank, compares options, sets out criteria and asks for a final recommendation. The win rate is the share of those conversations in which the assistant's final, single recommendation was that bank. Every bank had 36 conversations.

RankBankTierAI win rateWins /36 ChatGPTGeminiPerplexityCredit /9
1=Huntington BankSuper-regional
36%
133649
1=SynovusRegional
36%
134549
3=SouthState BankRegional
28%
101637
3=U.S. BankSuper-regional
28%
103437
5=BOK FinancialRegional
25%
91447
5=Chasetop-4 US bankMoney-center
25%
93335
5=Old National BankRegional
25%
90636
5=PNC BankSuper-regional
25%
90545
9=Associated BankRegional
22%
80535
9=Fifth Third BankSuper-regional
22%
80536
9=M&T BankSuper-regional
22%
81526
9=Valley BankRegional
22%
81435
9=Zions BankRegional
22%
81436
14East West BankRegional
19%
70525
15=Capital OneSuper-regional
17%
60332
15=First Horizon BankRegional
17%
61235
15=Live Oak BankFintech-adjacent
17%
60420
15=Webster BankRegional
17%
60514
19=Axos BankDigital-only
14%
50320
19=KeyBankSuper-regional
14%
50414
19=Regions BankSuper-regional
14%
50325
22=Citizens BankSuper-regional
11%
40403
22=Popular BankRegional
11%
40314
22=Silicon Valley BankOther
11%
41301
25=Bank of Americatop-4 US bankMoney-center
8%
30033
25=TruistSuper-regional
8%
30213
27=RevolutDigital-only
6%
20110
27=Wells Fargotop-4 US bankMoney-center
6%
20021
29=Cititop-4 US bankMoney-center
0%
00000
29=SquareFintech-adjacent
0%
00000

Per-assistant columns are wins out of 12. "=" marks a joint rank. With 36 conversations per bank, banks within about three wins of each other should be read as level: this is a ranking of this study, not a precise measurement of each bank. The win rate combines two assistants answering without web search with one that searches — the separate columns show each.

Where the bank is lost

AI starts with your bank and ends with someone else

When the customer opens with "we've been looking at [bank] — is this a good option?", the assistant's first answer centres on that bank in 702 of 1,080 conversations. It does not stay there.

Turn 1 · the opening
702

of 1,080 conversations open centred on the customer's own bank

Turn 4 · the recommendation
200

still recommend that bank outright

The loss
72%

recommend someone else — 502 conversations

Disappears entirely
24%

260 final answers do not mention the customer's bank at all

When the customer's bank loses and a named provider takes the recommendation, it is a fintech 669 times and another bank 107 times. Mercury alone took 327; Wise 184.

On the shortlist, not chosen

Being considered is not being chosen

With no bank named at all, the assistants readily put the biggest banks on the list of leading options. Then they recommend someone else.

Bank of America
shortlisted
567 of 1,080  ·  52%
Bank of America
recommended
7 of 1,080  ·  0.6%
Chase
shortlisted
810 of 1,080  ·  75%
Chase
recommended
118 of 1,080  ·  11%
4

Banks AI never mentions

Across 1,080 conversations where the owner asked for options without naming a bank, Popular Bank, East West Bank, Valley Bank and Associated Bank were never named — at any point, in any conversation.

14 of 144

The biggest banks fare worst

Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citi were the outright recommendation in 10% of the conversations where the customer asked about them by name. Regional banks: 88 of 396, or 22%. Citi: 0 of 36.

Where banks still win

Credit is the one situation banks own

Split the same 2,160 conversations by what the business actually needed, and the picture separates cleanly. When the business needs a credit line and an SBA loan, a bank takes the outright recommendation in more than two-thirds of conversations. Everywhere else it collapses.

Credit & SBA loan
68%  ·  a bank wins
Switching banks
12%
Startup LLC
2%
International billing
2%

Most bank wins in the league table come from this one situation. Huntington and Synovus were recommended in all nine of their credit conversations. The table is best read as which banks AI trusts with a small business's credit relationship.

The assistants disagree

Which assistant you ask matters as much as which bank you use

104 vs 20

Gemini backs your bank. ChatGPT does not.

Gemini recommended the bank the customer asked about in 104 of 360 conversations; ChatGPT in 20. In the credit situation, Gemini backed the customer's bank 57 times out of 90 — ChatGPT 17.

43%

Ask three times, get a different answer

In only 307 of 720 situations did an assistant give the same final recommendation all three times it was asked. A single screenshot of one AI answer is one roll of a dice.

701 vs 402

Where AI sends the customer to sign up

Asked "how do I open it?", the assistants pointed customers to mercury.com in 701 conversations — more than to the sites of Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citi combined.

32%

Who writes AI's answer

Of the 30,424 sources Perplexity cited, 32% were fintech companies' own websites and 24% were review, comparison and news publishers. Banks' own sites were 20%.

The full study

Every figure, every table, every conversation accounted for

The complete pack as supplied to American Banker — the league table, the full report with per-bank scorecards and method, three feature analyses, thirty bank fact sheets, the charts and the underlying data workbook.

Method

2,160 four-turn conversations with ChatGPT, Gemini and Perplexity, run on 18 September 2026 through each provider's API. A small-business owner describes one of four situations — a startup LLC, an agency switching banks, a landscaper wanting credit and an SBA loan, a consultancy billing overseas clients — asks for options, sets out criteria and asks for a final recommendation.

Each situation was run with the customer naming one of 30 US banks, and with no bank named. Every conversation was repeated three times. ChatGPT and Gemini answered without web search; Perplexity searched the web, and the three are reported separately as well as combined.

Final answers were classified by Claude as annotator. A blind human check of 150 answers agreed with the automated classification on the winner in 99% of cases. The outcome space records outright wins, shared recommendations, answers routed to a category with no name, and no pick — they are never merged. Scored under AIVO's published AI Win-Rate Methodology v2.0.

Where does your bank sit in this table?

We can run the same instrument on your brand, in your category, against the competitive set AI actually reaches for — and show you the turn at which you are lost.

Thank you

We have it.

Tim will come back to you directly, usually within a working day.

More research